Scientists believe that the huge volumes of freshwater flowing into the North Atlantic from the rapidly melting ice cap of Greenland have slowed down the ocean ?engine? that drives the Gulf Stream from the Caribbean towards north-west Europe, bringing heat equivalent to the output of a million power stations.
Blast from the Past. At Daily Kos on this date in 2003?Finding a way out:When the Democrats take the White House in 2004, they will face a daunting task -- a government in DEEP red, starved of tax revenues by the irresponsible borrow and spend Republicans. They will face a hostile word, uniting in opposition to US interests, regardless of their legitimacy. They will need to deal with joblessness, a double-dip recession, and corporate scandals.
But most daunting of all, they will need a solution to the Iraq mess.
For purposes of this thought experiment lets assume the most probably outcome -- a relatively quick takeover of Baghdad and Basra, 2-6 weeks from now. A restive population, suicide attacks against our forces, a massive army of occupation, unrest in the Arab street, and skyrocketing costs to hold and rebuild Iraq.
So what's the solution? I have given this some thought, and am in the process of formulating my "solution" (in other words, the best of a series of bad options). But I want to hear what you guys have to say.
So pretend you are a presidential candidate. It is November of this year. Iowa is a few short months away and Iraq is the issue dominating the news. You are asked: "What's your plan for Iraq?"Tweet of the Day On today's Kagro in the Morning show, IN still tops the news. O'Reilly's cameraman says he didn't get or need rescuing. Greg Dworkin rounds up IN and wider culture war news, plus one Vox explainer with which Armando takes exception. And a Gop fishing expedition for Obamacare horror stories comes up empty. Joan McCarter weighed in on IN & AR, including the looming gay wedding pizza crisis. In breaking net neutrality news: a Koch-backed astroturf campaign spoofs e-mail addresses in opposition to the FCC's new rules. In other news: young people like sex, even if Republican. David Dayen spots a bombshell in Barney Frank's new book, and it implicates all the people in all the things. High Impact Posts ? Top Comments The Evening Blues
The two officers, including a K9 officer, handcuffed the suspect and brought him to the ground, he said. Ayala said he asked the officers to stop because he was concerned for the man's welfare.Police have provided no real explanation for how something so awful happened to an unarmed man in their custody. The police chief, Timothy Codispoti, released a statement calling it a "tragedy." He went on to say, "I ask that everyone allow time for our justice system to now investigate this matter to its truthful conclusion."
See the video of an eyewitness and hear some early police dispatch audio below.
It was soon after, Tippen says, that Patel found her in the lobby and fired her.
?He said I was stupid and dumb for talking to [the Post],? Tippen said. ?He cussed me and asked me why you wrote the article. I said, ?Because he?s a reporter; that?s what he does.? He said, 'it was wrong for me to talk to you.'"In the original article, Patel was quoted saying "Everybody wants free money in Pine Bluff." This from an employer who pays all his housekeepers and front desk staff minimum wage. "Free money." An extra 25 cents an hour for the people doing the work of keeping your business running, including the injury-prone job of hotel housekeeper.
And the kicker? Reporter Chico Harlan notes that, before Patel fired Tippen for talking to him and being quoted in the Post, Patel had introduced Harlan to Tippen as a person to talk to for his story. Tippen is still looking for work.
In the 144-page book, "Rand Paul reveals the practices of each President of the United States and sheds light on how religion played a part in their governing and personal lives," the publisher's description says.This is in addition to another tome subtitled Moving Beyond Partisan Politics to Unite America, because Rand Paul considers himself a pretty good candidate for that uniting America part. In addition to being an ardent defender of the faith, I mean.
Steve Benen muses:[T]he larger political point of the senator?s efforts is also coming into focus. Social conservatives and so-called ?values voters? are looking for a standard bearer, and in general, this constituency doesn?t see Rand Paul as a natural ally. Clearly, the senator hopes to change that impression, emphasizing his opposition to marriage equality, his opposition to reproductive rights, decrying the nation?s moral crisis, misquoting the First Amendment, and even telling pastors, ?We need a revival in the country. We need another Great Awakening with tent revivals.?
Time will tell if this has the desired effect on the religious right, but in the meantime, one wonders if Paul?s libertarian-minded allies will stop recognizing their one-time champion.Indeed, a danger here is that Paul's generally less religious, libertarian-ish base will be put off by Paul's newer attempts to claim the mantle of Republican Jesus. I will point out yet again that Rand Paul's "base" consists almost exactly of his father's base, inherited via pop's mailing list, and that despite the fervor of a small set of true believers within those ranks Rand Paul himself is still a new face who simply doesn't have much of a track record or can command much loyalty. I've yet to hear a plausible theory as to how he could win the primaries or even come close, but his own plan seems to be to first dump his current libertarian supporters who didn't want yet another candidate opposing marriage equality, reproductive rights, and lecturing them about the godlessness of the country these days. Then, presumably, a miracle will occur.
So he's sending out some strong bids to perhaps get the religious conservatives to back him, even though they've already got far better (read: more insane) choices? Good luck with that. Given that his current base is made up of people who are largely tired of the preachifying of their Republican compatriots, it may lose him as many diehard voters as it gains?and there's little to suggest he has the rhetorical chops to cater to them both.
With Congress out of session for its Easter recess, Obama issued a "pocket veto" of the resolution. But as he's done twice before, he also sent the Senate a veto notice "to leave no doubt that the resolution is being vetoed."The new NLRB rules make it harder for bosses to stall elections by withholding information and filing frivolous lawsuits, tactics bosses often use to buy time to intimidate workers away from the union.
For the 2014-15 budget, a record $331.2 million was appropriated for border security. Still not enough, according to Republican lawmakers. For the 2016-17 budget, both the state senate, at $815 million, and Gov. Greg Abbott, at $735 million, want to spend more than double the previous amount. The budget is being considered in the legislature session now underway. Lawmakers in the state House of Representatives want to appropriate a good deal less than that, but still a large increase?to $500 million. Much of the money, whatever is finally appropriated, would go toward funding the hiring and training of another 500 state troopers.
State Rep. Armando Walle, a Houston Democrat, complained about the increases because, he said, border security is "something that doesn't even have a definition." During budget hearings, Abbott offered an off-the-cuff definition: zero border crossings by undocumented people.
This comes at a time when the federal government has added 3,000 additional Border Patrol agents since 2008, increased surveillance and strengthened the border fence. During that period, illegal border crossings have been cut in half.
As Marty Schladen at the El Paso Times reports, state government in the past three years has shifted hundreds of Texas state troopers from their usual turf to the border. At the same time, the number of traffic citations issued by those troopers has fallen 22 percent. As that has happened, so has something else:As troopers issued substantially fewer tickets, the number of accidents on Texas roads jumped by 14 percent during the same period, according to data obtained by the El Paso Times. [...]
"You can see there is a correlation," said state Rep. Trey Martinez Fisher, D-San Antonio.
"Here's what we all know: Police officers are community caretakers. When there's a presence in our community, there's a tendency for people to follow the law, people are safer, people are more observant of the laws. Conversely, if you think you can run a red light or speed down the highway because you don't think there are any adverse consequences, sometimes people are going to do that."Numerous Republican legislators said there are not enough data to prove a correlation between the border security shifting of personnel, the decrease in ticketing and the increase in crashes.
Maybe not. But at the same time, there aren't enough data to show any benefit from the state's increased emphasis on border security?which includes the deployment of Texas National Guard troops by former Gov. Rick Perry. The lack of data obviously has not stopped Republican lawmakers from preparing to spend even more money on the effort.
Indonesian police have opened fire on peaceful protesters in Jayapura, with at least four gunshot wounds and one death. West Papuan activists and families have been forced to flee to the jungle for safety. Indonesian security forces are conducting scores of raids, sweeps and offensives against West Papuan civilians. The attacks are happening during the visit of National Police Chief General Sutarman with over 200 people arrested across West Papua. Journalists have also been attacked by Indonesian police according to Amnesty International...Read more at San Fransisco Bay Area Indymedia. The Indonesian Police chief says any plans to free Papua from Indonesia won't be tolerated, including Flag raising ceremonies on the West Papuan national Day, December 1st.
Calls for Independence by West Papuans have been made since the sham "Act of Free Choice in 1969". They have suffered a neglected genocide at the hands of the Indonesian military (2004) with continued Repression (2007). Thousands of Papuans took to the streets in 2010 and in 2011 rejecting special autonomy, demanding a referendum on independence. Indonesia plans to build 1,500 km of new roads in the next two years to accelerate ?development', increase military presence, and open up more illegal logging. Three Papuans highlighted the human rights abuses at the APEC meeting in Bali this year by scaling the Australian Consulate?s fence in the dead of night and hand-delivering a personal plea to open the Indonesian province to world scrutiny.
A new academic law and human rights report A slow-motion genocide: Indonesian rule in West Papua (PDF), details the extent of the genocide and abuse of human rights. (Review by Greenleft) Activists have called for Australia to End pragmatic complicity in West Papua in response to comments by new conservative Prime Minister Tony Abbott. Imprisoned Papuan leader Selpius Bobii also responded saying, "We Live In Terror, Mr Abbott".
Related: Waging Nonviolence: Flotilla unsettles Indonesia?s occupation of West Papua | West Papuan National Day Goes Global | West Papuans to join commemoration of Eureka Rebellion in Ballarat More Information: West Papua media Alerts | Freedom Flotilla
Civil society organisations abandoned the COP19 climate change negotiations in Warsaw on mass. Members from Greenpeace, Oxfam, WWF, Actionaid, Friends of the Earth, the International Trade Union Confederation (statement) and 350.org all started leaving the conference at 2pm. This is an unprecedented action, the first time several major civil society groups have staged a mass walkout.
Friends of the Earth International highlighted that the Warsaw Climate Change negotiations were failing, with Tension high in Warsaw talks as G77+China walk out. The role of Australia and reduced ambition of Japan have been widely mentioned. Australia and Canada are seen as the major wreckers, but there has been substantial intransigence from much of the developed world to progressing the negotiations forward on finance, ambition, and a loss and damage mechanism. Poland's Coal Summit has shown the fossil fuel corporatism entwined in this COP with widespread dismay at the coal powered negotiations of COP19 and at UNFCCC official Christiania Figueres who gave the keynote speech at the coal summit
Related: Democracy Now: "Nature Does Not Negotiate": Environmentalists Walk Out of U.N. Climate Summit in Warsaw | "Polluters Talk, We Walk": Civil Society Groups Abandon Warsaw Talks over Inaction on Global Warming | "We Have to Consume Less": Scientists Call For Radical Economic Overhaul to Avert Climate CrisisAnalysis: The Warsaw walkout and the Climate Movement
The weekend of 16th and 17th November saw tens of thousands of people in Canada and Australia out in the streets in over 260 protests against the climate policies of these countries. Australia and Canada are seen as the major wreckers in Warsaw at COP19.
The Saturday protests in Canada occurred from coast to coast to Repulse Bay, Nunavut on the Arctic circle, more than 10,000 people gathered in over 180 events co-ordinated by Defend our Climate. Many protests focussed on stopping further expansion of the Alberta tar sands and pipelines to move the bitumenous oil south to Texas, east through Ontario and Quebec, and west through British Columbia. On Sunday, more than 60,000 people attended climate protests across Australia, protesting the attempt to repeal carbon pricing and clean energy programs by the conservative Government lead by Prime Minister Tony Abbott, elected on 7 September this year, who denied any link between climate change and bushfires as unusually early and intense bushfires raged around Sydney.
Civil Society NGO and local Polish activists also staged a Climate Justice march in Warsaw in association with the COP19 climate change negotiations taking place. Super Typhoon Haiyan set the initial mood at the negotiations with Philippines negotiator Naderev Saño (Yeb Saño) saying "time to take action. We need an emergency climate pathway". There is widespread dismay at the coal powered negotiations in Warsaw with Japan and Australia being particularly singled out.
Related: Australia Indymedia - Tens of Thousands rally for Climate Action across Australia
Authorities of Tacloban City with a population of 220,000 and capital of Leyte province, gave an early estimate that perhaps 10,000 people died from this one city. Many people were surprised by the huge storm surge tidal waves that inundated much of the city. Many smaller coastal villages were also devastated with most buildings destroyed or suffering severe damage. According to the UN Reliefweb report on 14 November the number of affected people has increased to 11.8 million. The official death count from Typhoon Haiyan is currently 4,460 but with numbers still increasing. There were 921,200 people displaced and 243,600 houses destroyed. A total of 2.5 million people are in need of food assistance.
Related: Climate IMC: Typhoon Haiyan: This is a climate crime | Time for turning tears into anger says Walden Bello | Philippine groups demand action on climate finance, loss and damage in Warsaw climate talks | Ejected from COP19 for expressing solidarity to the Philippines | Youth observers expelled from UN climate change talks for Philippines Solidarity | Indybay: Super typhoon Haiyan is climate wake-up call | They destroy We suffer Statement on Yolanda?s AftermathNon-corporate Typhoon Haiyan Relief Efforts: Waves for Water | Haiyan NYC Relief Project | Doctors without Borders | Oxfam International
Climate Negotiations are over for another year with little progress in Doha by any one's measure as the scientific statements on climate change and the impacts we are already feeling as evidenced in record Arctic melting, and extreme weather events like Hurricane Sandy and Typhoon Bopha in the Philippines, and Cyclone Evan in the South Pacific are growing much stronger.
Some of the latest scientific research shows:Sea Level rising 60% faster than IPCC projectionsMethane and CO2 in thawing Arctic permafrost a climate tipping pointCollapse of Siberia's Coastline is Releasing Huge Amounts of CO2Greenland Ice sheet suffers unprecedented surface meltIndian Monsoon more likely to fail as global warming acceleratesSouthern Ocean warming impact on Antarctic Ice Sheet Stability and sea level rise
Photos: Photos by World Resources Institute | Photos by Oxfam | The Verb: Climate March in Doha | The Verb: COP18 Actions Related: Deep emissions cuts urged at climate summit | Towards a Grand Compromise in the Climate Negotiations | COP18, another 'Conference of Polluters' | An open letter to governments and their negotiators | Climate compensation row at Doha | Forest Groups Protest False Solutions | IPCC's Planned Obsolescence: Fifth Assessment Report Will Ignore Crucial Permafrost Carbon Feedback! | Methane and CO2 in thawing Arctic permafrost a climate tipping point